Australian Open Upset Alert: Why Rublev Should Be VERY Worried About Cerundolo

 A compelling Round of 32 clash is set at the 2026 Australian Open as 15th seed Andrey Rublev faces 21st seed Francisco Cerundolo on Thursday, January 22. 

Andrey Rublev hits a powerful forehand against Francisco Cerundolo during an intense rally at the Australian Open.

Rublev enters as the favorite in a match poised to test both players' hard-court form.


Cerundolo vs. Rublev: Match Details & Odds


The third-round match between Francisco Cerundolo and Andrey Rublev is scheduledfor Thursday, January 22. 

Coverage will be available on ESPN+8, with a live stream on Fubo. 

The match will be played on the hard courts of Melbourne Park. The current betting odds, courtesy of BetMGM sportsbook. 

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List Rublev as the- 135 favorite. 

Cerundolo enters as the +105 underdog. These odds reflect a tight contest expected by bookmakers. Fans should check listings for the precise start time.


Player Form & Hard-Court Analysis

A determined Francisco Cerundolo prepares to return serve in a close-up shot during his Australian Open match.

The Argentine holds a 13-9 record on hard courts over the past year. 

His game is built on a strong serve, winning 74.7% of his service games, but his return game at 29.5% presents a challenge. 

He was defeated by Jaume Munar in his last tournament.


Andrey Rublev's Recent Performance


The Russian has a solid 24-16 hard-court record with one title in the past 12 months. 

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He excels in service games with an 80.5% win rate but has struggled at times on return (23.5%). He fell to Lorenzo Musetti in his previous semifinal.


Key Matchup Factors

A dramatic split-screen image contrasts Andrey Rublev's powerful serve with Francisco Cerundolo's agile baseline defense ahead of their Australian Open clash.

This contest will likely hinge on service dominance. Rublev's more consistent first serve could neutralize Cerundolo's aggressive returning style. 

However, Cerundolo's ability to convert break points (44.4%) makes him a live underdog if he can pressure Rublev's second serve.


Prediction & Betting Insight

While Rublev is rightfully favored based on ranking and experience, Cerundolo's fighting spirit and capable groundstrokes make this a dangerous match. 

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The value may lie with the underdog given the tight odds, but Rublev's superior serve on a fast hard court should see him through in a tight contest.


Tennis Fan Essentials


Source Information


This preview uses odds from BetMGM and official ATP Tour statistics.


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